GREAT SALT LAKE-EFFECT FORECAST OUTPUT ************************************************************** * THIS IS AN EXPERIMENTAL, AUTOMATED AND UNOFFICIAL FORECAST * ************************************************************** CREATED/MAINTAINED BY TREVOR ALCOTT AND JIM STEENBURGH LAST UPDATE: 11:06:23 MDT 2019-04-19 For more on GSL temperatures: http://home.chpc.utah.edu/~u0198116/AVHRR/gsltemp.html 7-DAY MEAN GREAT SALT LAKE TEMPERATURE FROM AVHRR 11.9 C CLIMATOLOGICAL LAKE TEMPERATURE 14.3 C LAKE TEMPERATURE USED IN CALCULATIONS 13.1 C 04-19-2019 12Z NAM12 LAKE-700 FHR VALID TIME WETBULBZERO T700 LAKE-700 EXCESS RH850-700 WIND700 LAPSE700-500 GSLE PROB (%) AFFECTED AREAS 0 FRI 6 AM 10400 FT 3.7 C 9.4 C 0.0 C 42% NW 9 KT 6.0 C/KM 0% 3 FRI 9 AM 10000 FT 3.8 C 9.3 C 0.0 C 43% NW 4 KT 6.3 C/KM 0% 6 FRI 12 PM 9800 FT 4.3 C 8.8 C 0.0 C 41% SW 5 KT 6.6 C/KM 0% 9 FRI 3 PM 9900 FT 5.2 C 8.0 C 0.0 C 40% SSW 11 KT 6.9 C/KM 0% 12 FRI 6 PM 10400 FT 6.3 C 6.8 C 0.0 C 36% SSW 13 KT 7.3 C/KM 0% 15 FRI 9 PM 10200 FT 6.6 C 6.6 C 0.0 C 27% SSW 16 KT 7.7 C/KM 0% 18 SAT 12 AM 10800 FT 7.1 C 6.0 C 0.0 C 24% SW 21 KT 8.4 C/KM 0% 21 SAT 3 AM 10500 FT 7.4 C 5.7 C 0.0 C 25% SW 18 KT 8.6 C/KM 0% 24 SAT 6 AM 9300 FT 7.3 C 5.9 C 0.0 C 21% SW 20 KT 9.0 C/KM 0% 27 SAT 9 AM 8900 FT 6.7 C 6.4 C 0.0 C 19% SW 16 KT 8.8 C/KM 0% 30 SAT 12 PM 9400 FT 5.3 C 7.9 C 0.0 C 30% SW 18 KT 8.9 C/KM 0% 33 SAT 3 PM 9900 FT 3.6 C 9.6 C 0.0 C 34% SSW 12 KT 7.6 C/KM 0% 36 SAT 6 PM 10300 FT 3.8 C 9.3 C 0.0 C 43% SSW 17 KT 7.5 C/KM 0% 39 SAT 9 PM 10300 FT 4.1 C 9.0 C 0.0 C 45% SW 14 KT 7.7 C/KM 0% 42 SUN 12 AM 10100 FT 3.2 C 9.9 C 0.0 C 48% SW 17 KT 7.5 C/KM 0% 45 SUN 3 AM 9700 FT 3.3 C 9.9 C 0.0 C 79% SSW 15 KT 7.8 C/KM 0% 48 SUN 6 AM 9200 FT 0.8 C 12.3 C 0.0 C 89% SSW 25 KT 6.9 C/KM 0% 51 SUN 9 AM 9400 FT 0.6 C 12.5 C 0.0 C 91% SSW 17 KT 7.0 C/KM 0% 54 SUN 12 PM 9000 FT -0.1 C 13.2 C 0.0 C 95% S 22 KT 6.7 C/KM 0% 57 SUN 3 PM 9300 FT -0.3 C 13.4 C 0.0 C 96% SSW 18 KT 6.6 C/KM 0% 60 SUN 6 PM 8200 FT -2.3 C 15.4 C 0.0 C 98% SW 5 KT 5.7 C/KM 0% 63 SUN 9 PM 8500 FT -3.4 C 16.5 C 0.0 C 94% NNE 6 KT 5.4 C/KM 0% 66 MON 12 AM 8000 FT -2.1 C 15.2 C 0.0 C 96% E 6 KT 6.0 C/KM 0% 69 MON 3 AM 8300 FT -2.7 C 15.9 C 0.0 C 98% E 6 KT 5.7 C/KM 0% 72 MON 6 AM 8300 FT -3.1 C 16.3 C 0.0 C 97% NE 8 KT 5.6 C/KM 0% 75 MON 9 AM 8400 FT -2.9 C 16.0 C 0.0 C 88% NE 9 KT 5.9 C/KM 0% 78 MON 12 PM 8300 FT -2.1 C 15.2 C 0.0 C 83% NE 7 KT 6.3 C/KM 0% 81 MON 3 PM 8700 FT -1.7 C 14.8 C 0.0 C 83% NNE 9 KT 6.1 C/KM 0% 84 MON 6 PM 9300 FT -1.1 C 14.2 C 0.0 C 84% NE 16 KT 6.0 C/KM 0% 04-19-2019 12Z GFS LAKE-700 FHR VALID TIME WETBULBZERO T700 LAKE-700 EXCESS RH850-700 WIND700 LAPSE700-500 GSLE PROB (%) AFFECTED AREAS 0 FRI 6 AM 9000 FT 2.7 C 10.4 C 0.0 C 34% WNW 9 KT 5.9 C/KM 0% 3 FRI 9 AM 8900 FT 3.1 C 10.0 C 0.0 C 34% W 7 KT 6.2 C/KM 0% 6 FRI 12 PM 8900 FT 3.8 C 9.4 C 0.0 C 32% WSW 7 KT 6.5 C/KM 0% 9 FRI 3 PM 9500 FT 4.6 C 8.5 C 0.0 C 32% SW 11 KT 6.9 C/KM 0% 12 FRI 6 PM 10200 FT 5.2 C 7.9 C 0.0 C 31% SSW 17 KT 7.1 C/KM 0% 15 FRI 9 PM 9600 FT 5.5 C 7.6 C 0.0 C 22% SSW 20 KT 7.3 C/KM 0% 18 SAT 12 AM 9900 FT 6.8 C 6.3 C 0.0 C 18% SW 23 KT 8.1 C/KM 0% 21 SAT 3 AM 9400 FT 6.5 C 6.6 C 0.0 C 18% SW 26 KT 8.3 C/KM 0% 24 SAT 6 AM 9200 FT 5.8 C 7.3 C 0.0 C 17% SW 19 KT 8.2 C/KM 0% 27 SAT 9 AM 9300 FT 4.8 C 8.3 C 0.0 C 21% WSW 11 KT 7.9 C/KM 0% 30 SAT 12 PM 9300 FT 4.5 C 8.6 C 0.0 C 25% SSW 12 KT 8.0 C/KM 0% 33 SAT 3 PM 9700 FT 4.5 C 8.7 C 0.0 C 28% SSW 17 KT 8.0 C/KM 0% 36 SAT 6 PM 9800 FT 4.2 C 8.9 C 0.0 C 32% SSW 17 KT 7.6 C/KM 0% 39 SAT 9 PM 9900 FT 4.4 C 8.8 C 0.0 C 33% SSW 22 KT 7.8 C/KM 0% 42 SUN 12 AM 9400 FT 2.8 C 10.3 C 0.0 C 56% S 21 KT 6.9 C/KM 0% 45 SUN 3 AM 9600 FT 1.3 C 11.9 C 0.0 C 65% SSW 22 KT 7.0 C/KM 0% 48 SUN 6 AM 9200 FT -0.0 C 13.2 C 0.0 C 87% SSW 19 KT 6.6 C/KM 0% 51 SUN 9 AM 8700 FT -1.6 C 14.8 C 0.0 C 98% S 9 KT 6.1 C/KM 0% 54 SUN 12 PM 8300 FT -2.5 C 15.6 C 0.0 C 96% SE 6 KT 5.9 C/KM 0% 57 SUN 3 PM 7500 FT -3.0 C 16.2 C 0.0 C 88% NW 10 KT 5.5 C/KM 0% 60 SUN 6 PM 7800 FT -3.2 C 16.3 C 0.0 C 78% NW 14 KT 5.6 C/KM 0% 63 SUN 9 PM 7900 FT -3.1 C 16.3 C 0.0 C 73% NW 16 KT 5.3 C/KM 0% 66 MON 12 AM 7900 FT -2.6 C 15.7 C 0.0 C 73% NW 13 KT 6.1 C/KM 0% 69 MON 3 AM 7600 FT -3.4 C 16.6 C 0.0 C 77% NW 10 KT 5.6 C/KM 0% 72 MON 6 AM 7500 FT -3.6 C 16.7 C 0.0 C 80% NNW 7 KT 5.7 C/KM 0% 75 MON 9 AM 7600 FT -4.0 C 17.2 C 0.0 C 85% N 6 KT 5.6 C/KM 0% 78 MON 12 PM 7600 FT -2.8 C 15.9 C 0.0 C 83% NE 4 KT 6.1 C/KM 0% 81 MON 3 PM 7800 FT -1.9 C 15.0 C 0.0 C 79% ENE 5 KT 6.3 C/KM 0% 84 MON 6 PM 8500 FT -1.2 C 14.3 C 0.0 C 76% NNE 10 KT 6.5 C/KM 0% 87 MON 9 PM 9000 FT -1.3 C 14.4 C 0.0 C 79% NNE 14 KT 6.2 C/KM 0% 90 TUE 12 AM 9000 FT -0.8 C 13.9 C 0.0 C 73% NNE 13 KT 6.3 C/KM 0% 93 TUE 3 AM 8700 FT -1.0 C 14.1 C 0.0 C 70% NNE 12 KT 6.1 C/KM 0% 96 TUE 6 AM 8200 FT -1.2 C 14.4 C 0.0 C 68% N 14 KT 5.7 C/KM 0% 99 TUE 9 AM 7900 FT -0.7 C 13.9 C 0.0 C 61% NNE 14 KT 5.7 C/KM 0% 102 TUE 12 PM 8000 FT 0.2 C 13.0 C 0.0 C 56% NNE 13 KT 5.8 C/KM 0% 105 TUE 3 PM 8700 FT 1.3 C 11.9 C 0.0 C 57% NE 11 KT 5.9 C/KM 0% 108 TUE 6 PM 9300 FT 2.1 C 11.0 C 0.0 C 57% NNE 11 KT 5.8 C/KM 0% 111 TUE 9 PM 9400 FT 2.1 C 11.0 C 0.0 C 51% N 15 KT 5.8 C/KM 0% 114 WED 12 AM 9400 FT 2.2 C 10.9 C 0.0 C 47% N 14 KT 6.1 C/KM 0% 117 WED 3 AM 9100 FT 2.2 C 10.9 C 0.0 C 47% NNW 12 KT 6.0 C/KM 0% 120 WED 6 AM 9000 FT 2.1 C 11.0 C 0.0 C 47% NNW 10 KT 6.0 C/KM 0% 123 WED 9 AM 9000 FT 1.9 C 11.3 C 0.0 C 49% NNW 8 KT 6.0 C/KM 0% 126 WED 12 PM 9300 FT 2.3 C 10.9 C 0.0 C 50% NNW 8 KT 6.2 C/KM 0% 129 WED 3 PM 8900 FT 3.7 C 9.4 C 0.0 C 43% NNW 11 KT 6.7 C/KM 0% 132 WED 6 PM 8800 FT 4.9 C 8.2 C 0.0 C 30% NNW 13 KT 6.9 C/KM 0% 135 WED 9 PM 9800 FT 4.9 C 8.3 C 0.0 C 33% NNW 13 KT 6.8 C/KM 0% 138 THU 12 AM 10000 FT 4.8 C 8.3 C 0.0 C 34% NNW 12 KT 6.9 C/KM 0% 141 THU 3 AM 10600 FT 4.5 C 8.7 C 0.0 C 38% NW 11 KT 6.7 C/KM 0% 144 THU 6 AM 10400 FT 4.3 C 8.8 C 0.0 C 39% WNW 9 KT 6.7 C/KM 0% 147 THU 9 AM 10200 FT 4.4 C 8.8 C 0.0 C 38% W 6 KT 6.8 C/KM 0% 150 THU 12 PM 10300 FT 4.8 C 8.4 C 0.0 C 36% SW 8 KT 7.0 C/KM 0% 153 THU 3 PM 10800 FT 5.4 C 7.7 C 0.0 C 35% SW 13 KT 7.1 C/KM 0% 156 THU 6 PM 11300 FT 6.8 C 6.3 C 0.0 C 32% SSW 15 KT 7.7 C/KM 0% 159 THU 9 PM 11300 FT 7.3 C 5.8 C 0.0 C 29% SSW 21 KT 7.9 C/KM 0% 162 FRI 12 AM 11200 FT 6.4 C 6.7 C 0.0 C 34% SW 26 KT 7.5 C/KM 0% 165 FRI 3 AM 11100 FT 6.6 C 6.5 C 0.0 C 35% WSW 31 KT 7.9 C/KM 0% 168 FRI 6 AM 10600 FT 5.6 C 7.5 C 0.0 C 39% WSW 26 KT 7.7 C/KM 0% 171 FRI 9 AM 10400 FT 4.8 C 8.4 C 0.0 C 51% WSW 25 KT 7.8 C/KM 0% 174 FRI 12 PM 10300 FT 3.4 C 9.7 C 0.0 C 57% WSW 15 KT 7.3 C/KM 0% 177 FRI 3 PM 10200 FT 3.8 C 9.3 C 0.0 C 51% WSW 17 KT 7.4 C/KM 0% 180 FRI 6 PM 9900 FT 3.4 C 9.7 C 0.0 C 48% W 15 KT 7.2 C/KM 0%