GREAT SALT LAKE-EFFECT FORECAST OUTPUT ************************************************************** * THIS IS AN EXPERIMENTAL, AUTOMATED AND UNOFFICIAL FORECAST * ************************************************************** CREATED/MAINTAINED BY TREVOR ALCOTT AND JIM STEENBURGH LAST UPDATE: 11:38:10 MDT 2017-07-25 For more on GSL temperatures: http://home.chpc.utah.edu/~u0198116/AVHRR/gsltemp.html 7-DAY MEAN GREAT SALT LAKE TEMPERATURE FROM AVHRR 27.2 C CLIMATOLOGICAL LAKE TEMPERATURE 26.8 C LAKE TEMPERATURE USED IN CALCULATIONS 27.0 C 07-25-2017 12Z NAM12 LAKE-700 FHR VALID TIME WETBULBZERO T700 LAKE-700 EXCESS RH850-700 WIND700 LAPSE700-500 GSLE PROB (%) AFFECTED AREAS 0 TUE 6 AM 15400 FT 9.7 C 17.3 C 0.0 C 71% ESE 6 KT 5.5 C/KM 0% 3 TUE 9 AM 15100 FT 9.6 C 17.4 C 0.0 C 74% ESE 4 KT 5.4 C/KM 0% 6 TUE 12 PM 15100 FT 9.8 C 17.1 C 0.0 C 72% SE 6 KT 5.5 C/KM 0% 9 TUE 3 PM 15000 FT 9.8 C 17.1 C 0.0 C 67% WSW 2 KT 5.3 C/KM 0% 12 TUE 6 PM 15000 FT 10.2 C 16.7 C 0.0 C 64% ENE 4 KT 5.4 C/KM 0% 15 TUE 9 PM 15600 FT 11.2 C 15.7 C 0.0 C 64% ENE 5 KT 6.1 C/KM 0% 18 WED 12 AM 15700 FT 11.3 C 15.7 C 0.0 C 65% S 4 KT 6.2 C/KM 0% 21 WED 3 AM 15400 FT 10.4 C 16.5 C 0.0 C 65% WSW 7 KT 5.9 C/KM 0% 24 WED 6 AM 15300 FT 10.3 C 16.6 C 0.0 C 61% SW 3 KT 6.3 C/KM 0% 27 WED 9 AM 14900 FT 10.9 C 16.1 C 0.0 C 57% S 4 KT 6.5 C/KM 0% 30 WED 12 PM 14900 FT 11.5 C 15.5 C 0.0 C 52% SSW 6 KT 6.6 C/KM 0% 33 WED 3 PM 15600 FT 12.4 C 14.6 C 0.0 C 46% SSW 7 KT 6.8 C/KM 0% 36 WED 6 PM 15300 FT 13.5 C 13.5 C 0.0 C 44% SW 8 KT 7.1 C/KM 0% 39 WED 9 PM 15700 FT 12.1 C 14.9 C 0.0 C 45% WSW 6 KT 6.6 C/KM 0% 42 THU 12 AM 15700 FT 12.2 C 14.8 C 0.0 C 50% WSW 4 KT 6.5 C/KM 0% 45 THU 3 AM 15700 FT 12.9 C 14.1 C 0.0 C 48% SW 8 KT 7.0 C/KM 0% 48 THU 6 AM 15200 FT 12.4 C 14.6 C 0.0 C 52% WSW 8 KT 7.0 C/KM 0% 51 THU 9 AM 14300 FT 11.8 C 15.2 C 0.0 C 54% WSW 9 KT 6.6 C/KM 0% 54 THU 12 PM 14400 FT 12.1 C 14.9 C 0.0 C 50% SW 10 KT 6.6 C/KM 0% 57 THU 3 PM 15400 FT 12.4 C 14.6 C 0.0 C 46% SW 7 KT 6.3 C/KM 0% 60 THU 6 PM 15000 FT 13.6 C 13.4 C 0.0 C 42% WSW 11 KT 6.5 C/KM 0% 63 THU 9 PM 14800 FT 13.5 C 13.4 C 0.0 C 42% WNW 11 KT 6.6 C/KM 0% 66 FRI 12 AM 14500 FT 13.2 C 13.8 C 0.0 C 42% WNW 8 KT 6.9 C/KM 0% 69 FRI 3 AM 14700 FT 13.2 C 13.8 C 0.0 C 42% WNW 7 KT 6.9 C/KM 0% 72 FRI 6 AM 14300 FT 12.9 C 14.1 C 0.0 C 44% WNW 8 KT 6.6 C/KM 0% 75 FRI 9 AM 14100 FT 12.7 C 14.2 C 0.0 C 42% NW 7 KT 6.7 C/KM 0% 78 FRI 12 PM 13600 FT 12.9 C 14.0 C 0.0 C 36% NW 6 KT 6.9 C/KM 0% 81 FRI 3 PM 13500 FT 14.1 C 12.9 C 0.0 C 30% NW 8 KT 7.1 C/KM 0% 84 FRI 6 PM 13700 FT 14.9 C 12.1 C 0.0 C 25% NNW 11 KT 7.4 C/KM 0% 07-25-2017 12Z GFS LAKE-700 FHR VALID TIME WETBULBZERO T700 LAKE-700 EXCESS RH850-700 WIND700 LAPSE700-500 GSLE PROB (%) AFFECTED AREAS 0 TUE 6 AM 15000 FT 9.1 C 17.9 C 0.0 C 74% SE 8 KT 5.9 C/KM 0% 3 TUE 9 AM 14900 FT 8.5 C 18.4 C 0.0 C 73% S 12 KT 5.6 C/KM 0% 6 TUE 12 PM 14800 FT 8.8 C 18.2 C 0.0 C 72% SSW 12 KT 5.7 C/KM 0% 9 TUE 3 PM 14400 FT 9.4 C 17.5 C 0.0 C 68% SW 9 KT 5.5 C/KM 0% 12 TUE 6 PM 14300 FT 10.1 C 16.9 C 0.0 C 65% W 6 KT 5.7 C/KM 0% 15 TUE 9 PM 13900 FT 10.4 C 16.6 C 0.0 C 62% WSW 5 KT 5.8 C/KM 0% 18 WED 12 AM 13800 FT 10.8 C 16.1 C 0.0 C 61% SW 5 KT 5.9 C/KM 0% 21 WED 3 AM 13600 FT 10.7 C 16.3 C 0.0 C 63% WSW 6 KT 6.2 C/KM 0% 24 WED 6 AM 13500 FT 10.4 C 16.5 C 0.0 C 63% W 5 KT 6.3 C/KM 0% 27 WED 9 AM 14000 FT 10.6 C 16.4 C 0.0 C 61% WSW 6 KT 6.3 C/KM 0% 30 WED 12 PM 13800 FT 10.7 C 16.2 C 0.0 C 57% WSW 5 KT 6.2 C/KM 0% 33 WED 3 PM 14100 FT 12.1 C 14.9 C 0.0 C 49% SW 6 KT 6.7 C/KM 0% 36 WED 6 PM 14500 FT 12.8 C 14.2 C 0.0 C 46% SSW 8 KT 7.0 C/KM 0% 39 WED 9 PM 14400 FT 12.7 C 14.2 C 0.0 C 46% WSW 7 KT 7.0 C/KM 0% 42 THU 12 AM 14400 FT 12.8 C 14.1 C 0.0 C 42% WSW 7 KT 6.9 C/KM 0% 45 THU 3 AM 14600 FT 12.2 C 14.8 C 0.0 C 45% W 7 KT 6.7 C/KM 0% 48 THU 6 AM 14300 FT 11.2 C 15.8 C 0.0 C 52% WSW 3 KT 6.6 C/KM 0% 51 THU 9 AM 14300 FT 11.1 C 15.8 C 0.0 C 52% WSW 10 KT 6.6 C/KM 0% 54 THU 12 PM 14300 FT 11.6 C 15.4 C 0.0 C 49% W 6 KT 6.6 C/KM 0% 57 THU 3 PM 14400 FT 12.0 C 15.0 C 0.0 C 48% SW 7 KT 6.5 C/KM 0% 60 THU 6 PM 13800 FT 12.9 C 14.1 C 0.0 C 48% SW 10 KT 6.7 C/KM 0% 63 THU 9 PM 14200 FT 12.8 C 14.2 C 0.0 C 42% WSW 11 KT 6.9 C/KM 0% 66 FRI 12 AM 14100 FT 12.7 C 14.3 C 0.0 C 39% W 11 KT 6.5 C/KM 0% 69 FRI 3 AM 14000 FT 12.5 C 14.5 C 0.0 C 41% WNW 10 KT 6.5 C/KM 0% 72 FRI 6 AM 13300 FT 12.2 C 14.8 C 0.0 C 44% NW 7 KT 6.6 C/KM 0% 75 FRI 9 AM 14300 FT 12.1 C 14.8 C 0.0 C 43% NW 6 KT 6.9 C/KM 0% 78 FRI 12 PM 14400 FT 12.2 C 14.7 C 0.0 C 40% WNW 5 KT 7.1 C/KM 0% 81 FRI 3 PM 14100 FT 12.8 C 14.1 C 0.0 C 35% W 5 KT 7.2 C/KM 0% 84 FRI 6 PM 13900 FT 13.8 C 13.2 C 0.0 C 33% WSW 6 KT 7.6 C/KM 0% 87 FRI 9 PM 13500 FT 14.2 C 12.8 C 0.0 C 26% WNW 6 KT 7.7 C/KM 0% 90 SAT 12 AM 13500 FT 14.4 C 12.6 C 0.0 C 20% NW 2 KT 8.0 C/KM 0% 93 SAT 3 AM 13500 FT 13.9 C 13.1 C 0.0 C 22% NW 2 KT 7.8 C/KM 0% 96 SAT 6 AM 13600 FT 13.9 C 13.1 C 0.0 C 24% NW 7 KT 7.9 C/KM 0% 99 SAT 9 AM 13700 FT 13.5 C 13.4 C 0.0 C 26% NNW 5 KT 7.8 C/KM 0% 102 SAT 12 PM 13500 FT 13.9 C 13.1 C 0.0 C 26% NE 3 KT 7.8 C/KM 0% 105 SAT 3 PM 13400 FT 15.0 C 12.0 C 0.0 C 23% ENE 2 KT 8.0 C/KM 0% 108 SAT 6 PM 13700 FT 16.1 C 10.9 C 0.0 C 20% ENE 5 KT 8.2 C/KM 0% 111 SAT 9 PM 14600 FT 15.9 C 11.1 C 0.0 C 23% ENE 12 KT 8.4 C/KM 0% 114 SUN 12 AM 15200 FT 15.7 C 11.3 C 0.0 C 25% ENE 10 KT 8.3 C/KM 0% 117 SUN 3 AM 14800 FT 15.3 C 11.7 C 0.0 C 27% ESE 7 KT 8.0 C/KM 0% 120 SUN 6 AM 14800 FT 14.6 C 12.4 C 0.0 C 29% E 6 KT 7.8 C/KM 0% 123 SUN 9 AM 14900 FT 13.2 C 13.8 C 0.0 C 37% SSE 4 KT 7.4 C/KM 0% 126 SUN 12 PM 15200 FT 13.9 C 13.1 C 0.0 C 35% SSE 7 KT 7.8 C/KM 0% 129 SUN 3 PM 15200 FT 13.9 C 13.1 C 0.0 C 33% SE 8 KT 7.5 C/KM 0% 132 SUN 6 PM 15200 FT 13.2 C 13.7 C 0.0 C 38% SSW 7 KT 7.1 C/KM 0% 135 SUN 9 PM 14900 FT 12.9 C 14.1 C 0.0 C 39% W 7 KT 7.1 C/KM 0% 138 MON 12 AM 15200 FT 12.7 C 14.2 C 0.0 C 42% WNW 6 KT 7.2 C/KM 0% 141 MON 3 AM 14700 FT 12.0 C 15.0 C 0.0 C 44% NNE 4 KT 6.7 C/KM 0% 144 MON 6 AM 14300 FT 11.2 C 15.8 C 0.0 C 50% E 3 KT 6.5 C/KM 0% 147 MON 9 AM 14600 FT 10.3 C 16.7 C 0.0 C 54% NE 5 KT 6.1 C/KM 0% 150 MON 12 PM 14900 FT 9.9 C 17.1 C 0.0 C 57% E 7 KT 6.0 C/KM 0% 153 MON 3 PM 15200 FT 10.4 C 16.6 C 0.0 C 56% SE 3 KT 5.9 C/KM 0% 156 MON 6 PM 14900 FT 11.3 C 15.7 C 0.0 C 51% NNW 7 KT 6.2 C/KM 0% 159 MON 9 PM 14300 FT 11.6 C 15.4 C 0.0 C 52% N 16 KT 6.6 C/KM 0% 162 TUE 12 AM 14000 FT 10.8 C 16.1 C 0.0 C 56% N 25 KT 6.2 C/KM 0% 165 TUE 3 AM 14000 FT 10.9 C 16.1 C 0.0 C 57% N 23 KT 6.1 C/KM 0% 168 TUE 6 AM 13900 FT 9.8 C 17.2 C 0.0 C 57% N 16 KT 6.1 C/KM 0% 171 TUE 9 AM 13400 FT 10.0 C 16.9 C 0.0 C 56% N 15 KT 6.6 C/KM 0% 174 TUE 12 PM 13400 FT 10.4 C 16.5 C 0.0 C 52% N 16 KT 6.7 C/KM 0% 177 TUE 3 PM 13600 FT 11.2 C 15.7 C 0.0 C 49% NNW 17 KT 6.7 C/KM 0% 180 TUE 6 PM 13900 FT 12.1 C 14.9 C 0.0 C 46% N 21 KT 7.0 C/KM 0%