GREAT SALT LAKE-EFFECT FORECAST OUTPUT ************************************************************** * THIS IS AN EXPERIMENTAL, AUTOMATED AND UNOFFICIAL FORECAST * ************************************************************** CREATED/MAINTAINED BY TREVOR ALCOTT AND JIM STEENBURGH LAST UPDATE: 23:06:16 MDT 2020-07-11 For more on GSL temperatures: http://home.chpc.utah.edu/~u0198116/AVHRR/gsltemp.html 7-DAY MEAN GREAT SALT LAKE TEMPERATURE FROM AVHRR 23.7 C CLIMATOLOGICAL LAKE TEMPERATURE 26.0 C LAKE TEMPERATURE USED IN CALCULATIONS 24.9 C 07-12-2020 00Z NAM12 LAKE-700 FHR VALID TIME WETBULBZERO T700 LAKE-700 EXCESS RH850-700 WIND700 LAPSE700-500 GSLE PROB (%) AFFECTED AREAS 0 SAT 6 PM 14200 FT 16.9 C 8.0 C 0.0 C 18% WSW 8 KT 8.7 C/KM 0% 3 SAT 9 PM 14600 FT 17.5 C 7.4 C 0.0 C 14% W 7 KT 8.8 C/KM 0% 6 SUN 12 AM 15000 FT 17.7 C 7.1 C 0.0 C 15% WSW 8 KT 9.0 C/KM 0% 9 SUN 3 AM 15100 FT 17.4 C 7.5 C 0.0 C 17% SSW 11 KT 8.8 C/KM 0% 12 SUN 6 AM 15100 FT 16.9 C 8.0 C 0.0 C 23% W 9 KT 8.7 C/KM 0% 15 SUN 9 AM 14200 FT 16.4 C 8.4 C 0.0 C 24% W 9 KT 8.9 C/KM 0% 18 SUN 12 PM 14400 FT 16.5 C 8.4 C 0.0 C 22% W 10 KT 9.0 C/KM 0% 21 SUN 3 PM 15300 FT 16.9 C 7.9 C 0.0 C 20% WSW 12 KT 9.1 C/KM 0% 24 SUN 6 PM 14700 FT 17.6 C 7.3 C 0.0 C 15% WSW 10 KT 8.8 C/KM 0% 27 SUN 9 PM 14900 FT 17.5 C 7.4 C 0.0 C 14% W 10 KT 8.7 C/KM 0% 30 MON 12 AM 14200 FT 16.7 C 8.2 C 0.0 C 15% W 5 KT 8.5 C/KM 0% 33 MON 3 AM 13800 FT 15.9 C 9.0 C 0.0 C 22% W 6 KT 8.4 C/KM 0% 36 MON 6 AM 13600 FT 15.3 C 9.5 C 0.0 C 26% W 13 KT 8.6 C/KM 0% 39 MON 9 AM 12800 FT 13.9 C 11.0 C 0.0 C 35% W 13 KT 8.2 C/KM 0% 42 MON 12 PM 12500 FT 13.4 C 11.4 C 0.0 C 35% WSW 14 KT 8.3 C/KM 0% 45 MON 3 PM 13100 FT 13.4 C 11.4 C 0.0 C 25% WSW 18 KT 7.9 C/KM 0% 48 MON 6 PM 13200 FT 13.7 C 11.1 C 0.0 C 20% WSW 17 KT 7.8 C/KM 0% 51 MON 9 PM 12600 FT 13.3 C 11.6 C 0.0 C 22% W 16 KT 7.7 C/KM 0% 54 TUE 12 AM 13000 FT 12.0 C 12.8 C 0.0 C 29% WNW 11 KT 7.5 C/KM 0% 57 TUE 3 AM 13100 FT 10.8 C 14.1 C 0.0 C 35% WNW 9 KT 7.0 C/KM 0% 60 TUE 6 AM 12300 FT 10.2 C 14.7 C 0.0 C 35% W 12 KT 6.4 C/KM 0% 63 TUE 9 AM 12300 FT 9.6 C 15.2 C 0.0 C 29% W 13 KT 6.5 C/KM 0% 66 TUE 12 PM 12800 FT 9.7 C 15.2 C 0.0 C 23% W 14 KT 6.6 C/KM 0% 69 TUE 3 PM 12800 FT 10.2 C 14.6 C 0.0 C 22% W 16 KT 6.8 C/KM 0% 72 TUE 6 PM 11700 FT 10.7 C 14.1 C 0.0 C 25% WNW 19 KT 6.9 C/KM 0% 75 TUE 9 PM 12400 FT 12.2 C 12.7 C 0.0 C 14% WNW 18 KT 7.8 C/KM 0% 78 WED 12 AM 12500 FT 11.6 C 13.2 C 0.0 C 14% NW 16 KT 7.5 C/KM 0% 81 WED 3 AM 12000 FT 10.8 C 14.0 C 0.0 C 18% NW 12 KT 6.9 C/KM 0% 84 WED 6 AM 11900 FT 10.9 C 14.0 C 0.0 C 20% WNW 11 KT 7.0 C/KM 0% 07-11-2020 00Z GFS LAKE-700 FHR VALID TIME WETBULBZERO T700 LAKE-700 EXCESS RH850-700 WIND700 LAPSE700-500 GSLE PROB (%) AFFECTED AREAS 0 FRI 6 PM 12600 FT 14.2 C 10.7 C 0.0 C 14% WSW 15 KT 7.5 C/KM 0% 3 FRI 9 PM 12500 FT 14.6 C 10.3 C 0.0 C 11% WSW 11 KT 7.4 C/KM 0% 6 SAT 12 AM 12600 FT 14.5 C 10.4 C 0.0 C 10% NW 4 KT 7.1 C/KM 0% 9 SAT 3 AM 12700 FT 14.9 C 9.9 C 0.0 C 11% SW 9 KT 7.7 C/KM 0% 12 SAT 6 AM 12500 FT 15.2 C 9.6 C 0.0 C 12% SW 13 KT 8.1 C/KM 0% 15 SAT 9 AM 12500 FT 15.3 C 9.5 C 0.0 C 14% WSW 10 KT 8.5 C/KM 0% 18 SAT 12 PM 13100 FT 15.4 C 9.4 C 0.0 C 14% WSW 11 KT 8.4 C/KM 0% 21 SAT 3 PM 14000 FT 15.6 C 9.3 C 0.0 C 14% WSW 14 KT 8.5 C/KM 0% 24 SAT 6 PM 13100 FT 16.5 C 8.3 C 0.0 C 14% WSW 14 KT 8.5 C/KM 0% 27 SAT 9 PM 14600 FT 16.7 C 8.1 C 0.0 C 13% WSW 10 KT 8.6 C/KM 0% 30 SUN 12 AM 14600 FT 16.6 C 8.2 C 0.0 C 16% SW 19 KT 8.7 C/KM 0% 33 SUN 3 AM 14500 FT 16.2 C 8.7 C 0.0 C 21% S 14 KT 8.5 C/KM 0% 36 SUN 6 AM 14600 FT 16.1 C 8.8 C 0.0 C 25% SW 8 KT 8.8 C/KM 0% 39 SUN 9 AM 14100 FT 15.5 C 9.4 C 0.0 C 28% SW 13 KT 8.7 C/KM 0% 42 SUN 12 PM 14300 FT 15.9 C 8.9 C 0.0 C 28% WSW 17 KT 8.8 C/KM 0% 45 SUN 3 PM 14700 FT 16.5 C 8.4 C 0.0 C 20% SW 17 KT 8.6 C/KM 0% 48 SUN 6 PM 14200 FT 16.7 C 8.1 C 0.0 C 12% W 16 KT 8.2 C/KM 0% 51 SUN 9 PM 14000 FT 17.6 C 7.2 C 0.0 C 12% W 13 KT 8.6 C/KM 0% 54 MON 12 AM 14200 FT 16.4 C 8.5 C 0.0 C 12% WNW 8 KT 8.5 C/KM 0% 57 MON 3 AM 14000 FT 16.4 C 8.4 C 0.0 C 12% WSW 17 KT 8.8 C/KM 0% 60 MON 6 AM 13600 FT 15.4 C 9.5 C 0.0 C 14% WSW 18 KT 8.5 C/KM 0% 63 MON 9 AM 12600 FT 14.0 C 10.9 C 0.0 C 19% WSW 22 KT 8.1 C/KM 0% 66 MON 12 PM 13100 FT 13.2 C 11.6 C 0.0 C 21% W 17 KT 7.8 C/KM 0% 69 MON 3 PM 13200 FT 13.0 C 11.9 C 0.0 C 19% W 22 KT 7.6 C/KM 0% 72 MON 6 PM 12200 FT 13.7 C 11.2 C 0.0 C 16% WSW 15 KT 7.6 C/KM 0% 75 MON 9 PM 12300 FT 14.4 C 10.5 C 0.0 C 13% NW 17 KT 7.7 C/KM 0% 78 TUE 12 AM 12600 FT 14.0 C 10.9 C 0.0 C 18% WNW 12 KT 7.6 C/KM 0% 81 TUE 3 AM 12600 FT 12.8 C 12.1 C 0.0 C 24% WSW 6 KT 7.5 C/KM 0% 84 TUE 6 AM 12500 FT 11.7 C 13.2 C 0.0 C 32% W 12 KT 7.3 C/KM 0% 87 TUE 9 AM 12800 FT 11.3 C 13.6 C 0.0 C 34% WSW 12 KT 7.2 C/KM 0% 90 TUE 12 PM 12700 FT 12.1 C 12.7 C 0.0 C 30% W 13 KT 7.4 C/KM 0% 93 TUE 3 PM 12700 FT 12.8 C 12.1 C 0.0 C 22% WSW 16 KT 7.2 C/KM 0% 96 TUE 6 PM 13400 FT 13.3 C 11.6 C 0.0 C 22% W 20 KT 7.2 C/KM 0% 99 TUE 9 PM 13700 FT 12.3 C 12.6 C 0.0 C 19% NNW 14 KT 6.5 C/KM 0% 102 WED 12 AM 13500 FT 12.3 C 12.6 C 0.0 C 21% NW 15 KT 7.1 C/KM 0% 105 WED 3 AM 13100 FT 11.5 C 13.4 C 0.0 C 24% NW 10 KT 6.8 C/KM 0% 108 WED 6 AM 12400 FT 11.3 C 13.6 C 0.0 C 24% WNW 12 KT 6.3 C/KM 0% 111 WED 9 AM 12400 FT 11.8 C 13.1 C 0.0 C 22% W 13 KT 6.7 C/KM 0% 114 WED 12 PM 12900 FT 12.1 C 12.7 C 0.0 C 21% W 13 KT 6.7 C/KM 0% 117 WED 3 PM 13100 FT 13.0 C 11.8 C 0.0 C 19% WSW 14 KT 7.0 C/KM 0% 120 WED 6 PM 13000 FT 13.9 C 10.9 C 0.0 C 18% WSW 16 KT 7.4 C/KM 0% 123 WED 9 PM 13600 FT 14.9 C 9.9 C 0.0 C 16% WNW 18 KT 7.5 C/KM 0% 126 THU 12 AM 13500 FT 14.1 C 10.7 C 0.0 C 17% W 2 KT 7.3 C/KM 0% 129 THU 3 AM 13600 FT 14.6 C 10.3 C 0.0 C 17% W 9 KT 8.1 C/KM 0% 132 THU 6 AM 13800 FT 14.7 C 10.2 C 0.0 C 18% SW 9 KT 8.5 C/KM 0% 135 THU 9 AM 13800 FT 14.5 C 10.4 C 0.0 C 26% S 11 KT 8.6 C/KM 0% 138 THU 12 PM 14000 FT 13.7 C 11.2 C 0.0 C 28% SW 18 KT 8.4 C/KM 0% 141 THU 3 PM 14100 FT 15.6 C 9.2 C 0.0 C 24% SSW 13 KT 8.7 C/KM 0% 144 THU 6 PM 14300 FT 16.2 C 8.6 C 0.0 C 18% WSW 12 KT 8.6 C/KM 0% 147 THU 9 PM 13500 FT 16.3 C 8.5 C 0.0 C 16% W 12 KT 8.6 C/KM 0% 150 FRI 12 AM 14000 FT 15.6 C 9.3 C 0.0 C 17% WNW 9 KT 8.7 C/KM 0% 153 FRI 3 AM 14300 FT 15.5 C 9.3 C 0.0 C 18% W 3 KT 8.8 C/KM 0% 156 FRI 6 AM 14300 FT 15.8 C 9.1 C 0.0 C 20% SW 15 KT 8.9 C/KM 0% 159 FRI 9 AM 14100 FT 15.3 C 9.5 C 0.0 C 24% SW 16 KT 8.8 C/KM 0% 162 FRI 12 PM 13900 FT 15.3 C 9.6 C 0.0 C 26% WSW 14 KT 8.9 C/KM 0% 165 FRI 3 PM 14000 FT 16.1 C 8.7 C 0.0 C 20% WSW 13 KT 9.2 C/KM 0% 168 FRI 6 PM 14400 FT 16.9 C 7.9 C 0.0 C 17% WSW 10 KT 8.6 C/KM 0% 171 FRI 9 PM 14400 FT 17.5 C 7.4 C 0.0 C 15% W 7 KT 9.0 C/KM 0% 174 SAT 12 AM 14600 FT 17.3 C 7.6 C 0.0 C 19% S 6 KT 9.2 C/KM 0% 177 SAT 3 AM 14800 FT 16.4 C 8.5 C 0.0 C 24% SW 19 KT 8.9 C/KM 0% 180 SAT 6 AM 14700 FT 16.8 C 8.0 C 0.0 C 27% WSW 12 KT 8.9 C/KM 0%